Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.005733 0.006062 0.006404 0.006786 0.007202 0.007641 0.008142
2026-01-18 0.005167 0.005644 0.006164 0.006774 0.007474 0.008258 0.009208
2026-01-25 0.004783 0.005337 0.005958 0.006712 0.007611 0.008659 0.009989
2026-02-01 0.004606 0.005231 0.005951 0.006851 0.007961 0.009301 0.011075
2026-02-08 0.004378 0.005042 0.005823 0.006822 0.008086 0.009661 0.011821
2026-02-15 0.004198 0.004894 0.005727 0.006816 0.008228 0.010037 0.012603
2026-02-22 0.003998 0.004708 0.005570 0.006717 0.008235 0.010227 0.013137
2026-03-01 0.003825 0.004545 0.005431 0.006628 0.008243 0.010411 0.013665
2026-03-08 0.003706 0.004442 0.005361 0.006622 0.008356 0.010738 0.014418
2026-03-15 0.003514 0.004238 0.005150 0.006415 0.008179 0.010641 0.014526
2026-03-22 0.003431 0.004170 0.005112 0.006438 0.008320 0.011004 0.015357
2026-03-29 0.003374 0.004133 0.005113 0.006513 0.008534 0.011483 0.016411
2026-04-05 0.003272 0.004034 0.005027 0.006463 0.008568 0.011698 0.017061
2026-04-12 0.003190 0.003959 0.004970 0.006451 0.008656 0.012000 0.017884
2026-04-19 0.003098 0.003866 0.004886 0.006394 0.008671 0.012185 0.018519
2026-04-26 0.003076 0.003866 0.004929 0.006523 0.008976 0.012851 0.020075
2026-05-03 0.003002 0.003795 0.004868 0.006495 0.009032 0.013114 0.020915
2026-05-10 0.002941 0.003737 0.004824 0.006490 0.009123 0.013437 0.021902
2026-05-17 0.002856 0.003643 0.004726 0.006398 0.009068 0.013506 0.022392
2026-05-24 0.002778 0.003557 0.004636 0.006315 0.009024 0.013589 0.022918
2026-05-31 0.002727 0.003509 0.004598 0.006309 0.009106 0.013898 0.023944
2026-06-07 0.002623 0.003382 0.004443 0.006116 0.008866 0.013612 0.023675
2026-06-14 0.002586 0.003350 0.004425 0.006138 0.008988 0.013994 0.024896